Susquehanna Poll: Shapiro Holds Commanding Lead Over Garrity


Yes, the date on the poll release is April 1.

Pennsylvania Republicans can only wish it was meant as a joke.

In the latest poll from Susquehanna Polling & Research, incumbent Democratic Gov. Josh Shapiro has a 22-point advantage over probable Republican challenger Stacy Garrity.

In a survey of 700 likely Pennsylvania voters, Shapiro received 58 percent support compared to just 36% for the State Treasurer. Five percent of respondents were undecided with a margin of error of +/-3.7 points in a survey that was in the field from March 18-29.

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Pollster Jim Lee told PCN’s Capitol Preview that the 22-point lead at this juncture is “pretty formidable.”

He said the key for Garrity to close the gap would be to secure the resources – read, fundraising – to drive Shapiro’s numbers below 50% prior to Election Day.

The problem becomes convincing GOP donors that she is still a candidate worth backing.

The survey showed that Shapiro has solidified his base, garnering 95% of Democratic votes, while also winning over 1 in 6 Republican (18%) voters who typically would break for Garrity.

Shapiro is a popular governor with Pennsylvanians with 56% of respondents approving of his job performance. Those surveyed also liked the way the governor “stands up” to President Donald Trump with 22% expressing their approval.

About half of respondents said they liked Garrity “because she was a Republican,” while 22% said they liked her support of Trump. One in five (21%) also said they liked her policies.

Shapiro defeated GOP opponent Doug Mastriano by 15 percentage points in 2022.

Steve Ulrich

Ulrich has worked as managing editor of PoliticsPA since January 2022 after spending two years as the Director of Elections in York (Pa.) County. Prior to that, he spent 35 years as a college athletics administrator. Send email to [email protected]