The race is moving in the incumbent’s favor, according to the most recent updated version of Politico’s 2020 Election Forecast. 

Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick’s (R-Bucks) reelection bid in the 1st Congressional District has moved from Toss-Up to Leans Republican in the ratings update published on Friday. 

Politico cites the Democratic field seeking to unseat Fitzpatrick as the reason the ratings moved in his favor. 

“Democrats don’t have a highly touted recruit to run against GOP Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick, who represents a Bucks County-based district Hillary Clinton carried in 2016,” the update writes. 

Christina Finello, an Ivyland Borough Councilwoman who has been endorsed by the Bucks County Democratic Party, and Skylar Hurwitz, a technology entrepreneur and small business owner who has been endorsed by Our Revolution Pennsylvania, are the two Democrats vying for the party nomination. However, Fitzpatrick is still set to face another pro-Trump Republican in the upcoming GOP primary in financial advisor Andrew Meehan.

Fitzpatrick, who is currently serving his second term in Congress in a district that narrowly went to Sec. Hillary Clinton in 2016, bested Democrat Scott Wallace by just over 2.5 points in 2018. 

The most recent update also provided good news for another fellow incumbent in the Philadelphia suburbs – Rep. Chrissy Houlahan (D-Chester). The 2020 Election Forecast moved her race in the 6th Congressional District from Likely Democratic to Solid Democratic. 

As a result of Fitzpatrick’s race moving to Leans Republican, the lone Congressional race in the state that is still listed in their Toss-Up category is Rep. Scott Perry’s (R-York) reelection bid in the 10th Congressional District. 

Although Perry’s reelection bid is the only toss-up according to Politico, they have five races in the state in the leans category for the incumbent which include the reelection bids of Reps. Matt Cartwright (D-Lackawanna), Fitzpatrick, Mike Kelly (R-Butler), Conor Lamb (D-Allegheny), and Susan Wild (D-Lehigh). 

The presidential race in Pennsylvania is still listed as a Toss-Up as well. 

Politico’s Pennsylvania ratings can be found here.