The Keystone State apparently will be the key in 2026 as House Democrats chart a course back to the majority.
The House Majority PAC, a super PAC closely aligned with House Speaker Hakeen Jeffries (D-N.Y.), has identified 29 districts, including three in Pennsylvania, that it is targeting for the next election cycle.
The trio of Commonwealth seats include districts in the Lehigh Valley (7th), Northeast PA (8th) and the Capitol Region (10th). This coming on the heels of seat-flipping triumphs from Ryan Mackenzie and Rob Bresnahan in the 7th and 8th, as well as Rep. Scott Perry holding onto his spot in the 10th.
All three of those contests were decided between 1.0 and 1.6 percentage points and are among the top five closest races among the 29 targeted for 2026.
According to a HMP memo, the organization is launching a 2026 Recruitment Fund to allow time to recruit and prepare potential candidates earlier in the cycle. “We must ensure Democratic campaigns are set up for success – and that comes through conducting qualitative and quantitative research to develop specific messaging and strategies for individual races,” read the memo.
“HMP has already been conducting significant outreach and researching potential candidates across the country, and will continue doing so in the coming months to ensure that the best possible candidates are identified and properly equipped to defeat Republican incumbents in 2026.”
“I think we can compete in a lot of places once people find out that Donald Trump promised to lower their costs and raise their incomes and none of that will come to fruition,” Rep. Pete Aguilar (D-Calif.), chair of the House Democratic caucus told Axios. “I think that it’s pretty clear that Republicans will overreach and that will create some political opportunity.”
House Majority PAC can give money directly to candidates’ campaigns, but devotes most of its resources to independent expenditures that are not coordinated with candidates.
In the most recent cycle, Reps. Susan Wild and Matt Cartwright each received $10,000 from HMP in hopes of defending the 7th and 8th District seats, while Janelle Stelson received $5,000 in hopes of flipping the 10th.
In terms of independent expenditures, HMP spent $6.78 million against Mackenzie in PA07, $6.26M versus Bresnahan in PA-08, and $2.46M against Perry in PA-10.